PArK / Literatur

Enke, W., Deutschländer, Th., Schneider, F. & Küchler, W. (2005): Results of five regional climate studies applying a weather pattern based downscaling method to ECHAM4 climate simulations. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Vol. 14, 247-257

Hoeting J. A., Madigan, D., Raftery, A. E. & Volinsky, C. T. (1999): Bayesian Model Averaging: A Tutorial. Statistical Sciences, Vol. 14, 382-417

IPCC (2001): Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. http://www.ipcc.ch/

Jonas, M., Staeger, T. & Schönwiese, C.-D. (2005): Berechnung der Wahrscheinlichkeit für das Eintreten von Extremereignissen durch Klimaänderungen - Schwerpunkt Deutschland - Institut für Atmosphäre und Umwelt der Universität Frankfurt/Main, Arbeitsgruppe Klimaforschung. Forschungsbericht 201 41 254, UBA-FB 000845.- Dessau

Min, S.-K. & Hense, A. (2006): A Bayesian assessment of climate change using multi-model ensembles. Part I: Global mean surface temperatures. Journal of climate, Vol. 19, 3237-3256

Min, S.-K., Hense, A. & Simonis, D. (2007): Probabilistic climate change predictions applying Bayesian model averaging. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 365, 2103-2116

Wulfmeyer, V. & Henning-Müller, I. (2006): The Climate Station of the University of Hohenheim: analyses of air temperature and precipitation time series since 1878. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 26, 113-138.